You can tell an Egyptian grain store by the birds circling overhead.
As much as half of the wheat the state buys from its farmers is lost each year to pigeons, rodents and thieves scavenging national stockpiles that are often just stacked in rough jute bags open to the elements, said David Blumberg, whose U.S. company is working with the government to modernize and build the Middle East’s largest grain-storage network.
“If you ever passed by a landfill and saw all the birds circling above, that’s kind of the situation,” said Blumberg, chief executive officer of Blumberg Grain, Middle East & Africa, referring to the facilities he’s working on replacing. “There is no protective covering.”
Wasted grain is a big problem for Egypt, where rising food prices intensified unrest that led to the overthrow of the government during Arab Spring protests in 2011. The country is the world’s biggest wheat importer and spends billions of dollars on grain each year for a subsidized bread program to ensure its people can afford food.
The government buys about 40 percent of the country’s wheat production each year, but waste isn’t limited to the domestic crop. Poor infrastructure, port backlogs and aging storage sites mean a third of imported supply is also lost, said Gilles Mettetal, director of agribusiness at the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development.
Any improvements that may cut imports may have consequences for the global wheat market, which is contending with the largest stockpiles in almost three decades. Bumper harvests around the world have pushed benchmark prices in Chicago to near the lowest since 2010. Futures traded at $4.8025 a bushel on Tuesday, 20 percent lower than the same time last year.
The Egyptian government will spend $1.3 billion this year buying wheat from local farmers, according to the United Nations’ Food & Agriculture Organization. Since June, it paid more than $560 million to import wheat, mostly from the Black Sea region and France, Bloomberg calculations show.
The Blumberg project will initially see 93 steel sheds, each able to hold 8,000 metric tons of grain, ready within five months. The country eventually wants to build almost 300 warehouses storing 2.35 million tons of locally grown grain, Blumberg said in an interview in Geneva last month. The sites will clean, weigh, bag and monitor grain from warehouse to flour miller. If anything goes missing, the operators will know.
Egypt is taking other steps to boost the efficiency of its subsidized food programs, which in the past made bread so cheap that some people fed it to livestock. The country started a smart-card system last year that pays bakeries for each loaf they sell instead of providing them directly with subsidized flour, which was often resold on the black market.
The government is also planning a $1.7 billion silo project at the Port of Damietta for imported wheat with storage capacity of 7.5 million tons. While improving the situation, the government should make it easier for private firms to develop and own their own facilities, the EBRD’s Mettetal said.
Medsofts is a private trader doing just that, following a $20 million loan from the EBRD to operate silos along the Nile River. The company transports grain by barge to bypass inefficient unloading operations at the Port of Alexandria, Mettetal said. The EBRD wants to fund other such projects.
“We have been approached by large grain-trading companies, among the top ones, and all are keen to invest in building their own facilities,” Mettetal said Nov. 25. Anything that reduces wastage could curb Egyptian imports or more easily allow it to meet rising demand for feed grains in the long term, he said.
Egyptian wheat imports have risen about 5 percent on average each year over the past decade, compared with a 3 percent annual increase in consumption, USDA data show. Imports surged in 2009 following the spike in food prices the previous year. Waste isn’t a problem only in Egypt — the UN’s FAO estimates that a third of all food globally is lost before it reaches consumers’ dinner tables.
At least 10 Arab nations sought to expand storage capacity following food-price spikes in 2008, the World Bank estimated in 2012, and some of those plans are now coming to fruition. Saudi Arabia, the largest barley importer, will increase public storage capacity by a quarter by year-end, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Foreign Agricultural Service. Some private companies have announced expansion projects in the region as well.
Political unrest and war have derailed some plans, said Abdolreza Abbassian, a senior economist at the UN’s FAO in Rome. Syria used to have one the biggest storage capacities relative to demand in the Middle East. By January, the government had lost control of more than half its large-silo storage capacity and a greater share of smaller depots had been seized or damaged, the UN reported.
Such conflicts give even greater reason for ending the inefficiencies bedeviling food systems in the Middle East and North Africa.
“Extremist ideologies, uprisings and movements are almost always catalyzed by a lack of economic opportunity and food security,” Blumberg said. “The second you don’t have food to eat, you’re susceptible to whatever nonsense is thrown at you.”